WEATHER TRENDS
Key weather statistics to the current date
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20% decline in annual rainfall (-73mm)
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22% decline in GSR (-67mm)
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21% decline (9.28mm) in the average monthly GSR 44.28mm to 35.0mm
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Pre 1990 drought 1 year in 10
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Historically droughts followed by consecutive average/wetter years
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Post-1990 drought 1 year in 3
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Since 1990, droughts followed by dry or another drought
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Average or wet years occur 1 year in 10
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“Break” occurs ≈ 28 May, NOT ANZAC day
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≈ 50% increase in the length of the Frost season. On average 147 days from the first frost to last (0°C or below). The first frost occurs around the 27 May. Latest frost 4th November
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Since 2014, temperatures of ≥ 32°C are still being recorded in April. The first days of temperatures ≥ 32°C are being recorded in October.
So, in consideration of Climate Change and the changing weather conditions…
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The cost of growing crops is too high in proportion to risk
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With increased variability no guarantee of grain quantity or quality
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Growing Season has effectively shortened, 3-6 weeks
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To Reduce RISK - change cropping/sheep ratio (60/40 to 30/70)
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Grow more grass – eat weeds, reduce chemical resistance & frost problems
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Breeding objectives - Select animals that are better suited to conditions